Live paper trading · 14 sports · CLV-first

Quant value-betting
in the open.

Open methodology for finding edge in sports markets via sharp consensus. Not ROI promises — CLV as the leading indicator. Public track record, transparent formulas, real-time signals.

Get the free guide → Public dashboard ↗

+14.7% avg CLV · 90 days

14.7%

avg CLV

91k+

matches in DB

sports covered

5/day

Σ Pulse posts

How it works

Edge through method, not luck

Three pillars: sharp consensus as fair-value reference, ¼ Kelly for bankroll safety, CLV as the only honest performance metric.

🎯

[ 01 ]

Sharp consensus

Median fair line across Pinnacle, Betfair, and Matchbook. Three-book consensus eliminates stale lines and single-source noise.

⚡

[ 02 ]

EV filter + ¼ Kelly

Only bets with EV ≥ +5% and odds 1.30–3.00 pass. Stake = ¼ Kelly, capped at 1.5% of bankroll. No guesswork, no tilt.

📊

[ 03 ]

CLV is truth

Closing Line Value stabilizes after 50–200 bets. ROI is noise until 1000+. We stop if CLV drops below +3% over any 50-bet window.

Track record

No cherry-picking. All bets, public.

system_status.sh

live

# system · paper trading

PHASE = validation

SPORT_1 = ATP_tennis

BOOKS = Fonbet, Pari, 1xS

REFERENCE = Pinnacle (sharp)

# performance snapshot

AVG_CLV = +14.7%

CLV_POSITIVE= 100% of signals

EV_FILTER = k∈[1.30,3.00] EV≥5%

# stop rules

STOP_CLV = <+3% / 50 bets

STOP_ROI = <-5% / 200 bets

STOP_DD = -30% bankroll

$ status: GO ✓

🔬Validated on 10,682 ATP matches 2022–2025. CLV positive in 100% of signals.
📈Walk-forward Elo with 2015 warmup. Grid search across 324 filter combinations.
🎯Lock parameters v1.1: k ∈ [1.30, 3.00], EV ∈ [3%, 20%].
🔓Methodology is public. Code is open. Zero black boxes.

Open public dashboard →

Pricing

Start free. Scale when validated.

No payment required until edge is proven on 200+ real bets. Premiums launch Q3 2026.

Free tier

Forever free. Methodology + community.

✓Σ Pulse Telegram channel (5 posts/day)
✓Public dashboard with track record
✓Open methodology documentation
✓Free PDF guides (3 books)
–Real-time signals
–CLV data per signal

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Pulse+ · Q3 2026

$9/mo

More signals, earlier alerts, priority feed.

✓Everything in Free
✓5× more signals per day
✓Signals without 30-min delay
✓SHARP ALERT (line move >10pp)
–Full CLV breakdown per bet
–Advanced analytics

Join waitlist →

Signals Pro · Q3 2026

$49/mo

Full data, CLV per signal, deep analytics.

✓Everything in Pulse+
✓Full CLV breakdown per bet
✓Expected value formula visible
✓Historical signal archive
✓Multi-sport coverage (all 13)
✓Priority Telegram + email digest

Join waitlist →

Free guides

Get the Sharp Bettor's Field Guide

Six free PDFs — from absolute beginner to methodology deep-dive. No profit promises. Formulas, red flags and the only metric that matters.

for beginner

5 traps of a bettor who thinks he's in the green

The bookmaker margin tax
Why 100 bets prove nothing
5 red flags of tipster scam
Kelly for bankroll safety

for semi-sharp

Methodological Note: CLV as a leading indicator

Closing line as fair-value reference
CLV formula and interpretation
¼ Kelly stake sizing
System stop rules

methodology

From ROI to CLV — reframe your metrics

Why ROI lies for <1000 bets
Edge decay and when to stop
Σ method: all pillars in one place

for beginner

ROI lies — why your 'winning system' is losing

Sample size delusion under 500 bets
Variance and how it hides your edge
The only valid profitability test

for beginner

Where you lose money without knowing it

Hidden margin in odds compilation
Line movement and when you're last
Overround and the long-run tax

for semi-sharp

Metrics and methodology — the full stack

EV, CLV, yield — hierarchy of metrics
Sharp consensus: how to build the model
Backtesting pitfalls and walk-forward validation

Channels

Follow the feed

📡

Value Sniper Research

@value_sniper_research

⚡ Σ FACT📚 БАЗА📊 THROUGHPUT🦈 SHARP ALERT

Open channel →

🌐

Value Sniper App (EN)

@valuesniper_app

⚡ ΣFACT📚 BASICS📊 THROUGHPUT🦈 SHARP ALERT

Open channel →

«Snipers don't fire bursts. One precise shot per day — but it carries edge.»

Σ Value Sniper · 2026

Quant value-betting in the open.

Edge through method, not luck

Sharp consensus

EV filter + ¼ Kelly

CLV is truth

No cherry-picking. All bets, public.

Start free. Scale when validated.

Get the Sharp Bettor's Field Guide

5 traps of a bettor who thinks he's in the green

Methodological Note: CLV as a leading indicator

From ROI to CLV — reframe your metrics

ROI lies — why your 'winning system' is losing

Where you lose money without knowing it

Metrics and methodology — the full stack

Follow the feed

Quant value-betting
in the open.